Wednesday, November 23, 2016

A quick peek into the math: Hillary Clinton got a lot more votes, and we should never forget it.

What sets my work apart is a true passion for digging into the numbers. This can be seen in my previous blog, The Scorecard:  http://www.thescorecard.us/ .  I plan to continue updating The Scorecard once a week, but it offered mostly straightforward non-partisan analysis.  Now that the election is over, I am turning to arguing strenuously for our side.  There is no doubt that the Nov. 8 result is incredibly disheartening.  As a consequence the steps we will be advocating are dramatic, but it’s important also to take a step back and realize just how close this election was.

  Here is the first and most important thing to remember. Hillary Clinton got more votes than Donald Trump, and this is not by some small tiny factor that can be fairly overlooked or forgotten.  Hillary Clinton currently has basically 2 million  more votes than Donald Trump and almost every bit of reporting suggests this number is continuing to grow. I am tracking it here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/133Eb4qQmOxNvtesw2hdVns073R68EZx4SfCnP4IGQf8/htmlview?sle=true#gid=19 on a site from David Wasserman at Cook. 

For Clinton supporters and other progressives reading this the underlying reality is incredibly important. You live in a country where more people voted for Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump.  The margin is not that small. Whenever you are confronted with the idea that Trump is in charge, or Trump is all powerful, or Trump is this or that, remember you live in a country where more people voted for Hillary Clinton than Donald Trump. As for how Trump won the electoral college, that’s where the margin was tiny.  The final three states he got which put him over the magic 270 were Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.  The combined margin in the three states may end up at roughly 100,000 votes.    The results were terrible but the margins were razor thin. That means if we do the work we need to do and democracy is maintained, things can still right themselves.

 The amount of work ahead of us is unimaginable, but the path forward is clear.  And if you begin to doubt yourself or our cause, remember Hillary Clinton got more votes. Hillary Clinton got more votes. Hillary Clinton got more votes. We will check back in when the counting is done.




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